Vice President Kamala Harris’ performance in Tuesday’s presidential debate appears to have had little impact on voter sentiment in North Carolina, according to a new poll.
The Trafalgar Group poll, conducted on September 11 and 12, shows Donald Trump narrowly leading Harris by 48.4% to 46% among likely voters in the battleground state.
The results reflect a similar trend observed in August surveys, which indicated Trump leading Harris by a narrow margin. Despite Harris’ debate performance, the poll suggests that around 2% of her supporters may have shifted their support to Trump. The survey results are based on a sample of 1,094 respondents who were asked whom they would vote for if the presidential election were held today.
The poll found that 3.1% of voters were still undecided, and 2.4% chose candidates other than Trump or Harris. The demographic breakdown of the participants revealed a predominance of white females, with approximately 34% of respondents identifying as an ethnicity other than white. There was a notable gender imbalance, with about 10% more women participating in the poll.
Political affiliation among respondents was fairly evenly distributed: 35.2% identified as Republican, while 33.1% were Democrats. The remaining respondents identified as independent or belonged to other political affiliations.
An earlier Survey USA poll from High Point University in August had shown Harris with a slight edge in North Carolina, with a “whisker-thin” lead of 3 points among registered voters and 2 points among likely voters. Additionally, the FiveThirtyEight polling average for the state shows Harris ahead by the narrowest margin, just one-tenth of a percentage point.
The new poll highlights the ongoing competitiveness of the race in North Carolina, a key swing state that could play a crucial role in the outcome of the presidential election.
