Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in every key swing state, with margins that are narrow but appear to be expanding, according to a new AtlasIntel poll.
The survey, conducted among likely American voters, shows Trump as the favoured vital candidate in pivotal states such as North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as the 2024 Presidential Election nears its final stretch.
In four of these critical states, Trump’s lead has grown outside the margin of error, suggesting a solidifying advantage. In Arizona, where Trump holds his largest margin, he leads Harris with 52.3% support compared to her 45.8%, making it the widest gap observed among the swing states.
The poll also shows Trump leading in Nevada, where he has 51.2% support to Harris’s 46%.
Both candidates recently campaigned in North Carolina, but Trump currently holds a 50.5% to 47.1% advantage there.
In Georgia, Trump maintains a lead with 50.1% support against Harris’s 47.6%. While some states remain within the poll’s two-point margin of error, Trump continues to hold the edge in each.
Michigan’s polling results show that Trump had 49.7% compared to Harris’s 48.2%, while Pennsylvania displayed a similar trend, with Trump at 49.6% and Harris at 47.8%.
The closest race is taking place in Wisconsin, where Trump has 49.7% of likely voters’ support, and Harris closely follows at 48.6%.
Across these critical battlegrounds, the poll finds Trump leading overall with 49% to Harris’s 47.2%.
AtlasIntel, which has highlighted its accuracy in forecasting swing state results within the margin of error in the 2020 election cycle, claims these latest projections could offer a clear forecast for the election’s outcome as both candidates continue their final campaign efforts in these crucial regions.
